Thursday, May 6, 2010
This table shows the results for 649 of 650 constituencies in the 2010 general election in the United Kingdom (not including the delayed constituency of Thirsk and Malton, which will hold its election on 27 May).
With a handful of seats yet to declare, on Friday morning it seemed certain that the United Kingdom faces a hung parliament for the first time since 1974. David Cameron?s Conservative party, despite securing the largest number of seats and mauling the incumbent Labour Party, has not been able to secure an absolute majority within the legislature.
The Citizens UK gathering in Westminster Methodist Hall on Monday which brought together all three party leaders was something quite breath-taking. I?ve written before about how their events combine extraordinary spectacle and political theatre with a high degree of discipline and the projection of real grassroots community power. There were 2, 500 people in the hall from over 150 organisations, including mosques, churches, schools and ethnic groups and a small number of trade unions.
The results are still coming in but it?s clear by now that this election has once again delivered an outrageous mismatch between votes and seats.
Our broken system has failed to deliver the Parliament people dared to hope for.
Tories 36% of vote, 49% of the seats.
Labour 29%of vote, 42 % of the seats.
Lib Dem; 23% of vote, 9% of the seats.
No matter what the colour of your political stripes, this is grossly disproportionate and unfair
But with power in the balance we have an opportunity.
Top news: The Labour Party’s 13 years of majority in the British Parliament came to an end last night with Prime Minister Gordon Brown’s party losing at least 86 seats to David Cameron’s Conservatives. But with no party holding an outright majority, the country is facing its first “hung parliament” since the 1970s. Brown has signalled that he will not immediately step down, saying the results show “no clear majority for any single party.? Both leaders are expected to make statements about their plans shortly.
When visiting journalists first encountered the bewildering complexities of Northern Ireland?s politics at the height of the ?troubles?, a kindly piece of advice was on hand from local informants: ?If you?re not confused here, you don?t really know what?s going on.? The same pithy wisdom offers a useful working guide to anyone seeking to make sense of the 2010 general election in Britain. For this month-long campaign has been an exercise in glorious confusion that, even in its final days before voters go to the polls on 6 May, resists any certainty about the outcome.
It was not supposed to be like this…
[to read on, click here – ]
The UK’s election day has arrived and newspapers have embraced the topic fervently. The Guardian has provided a useful gallery of election day newspaper front pages (as well as a gallery showing election results from 1945 onwards in the Guardian.) Pictures of Conservative leader David Cameron dominate, and the tabloids have not held back in expressing their hopes for the outcome.
The story we are all supposed to share in the election campaign is that this year, next year, or sometime, but not never, the economy will recover.
Not only will this be good for employment and our prosperity, but for reducing the deficit. And we need the recovery to help with this, by increasing the tax take and reducing welfare payments. If the present deficit is about £170b., we can on this analysis reckon that it will reduce to about £70b. provided we are indeed helped by the recovery. So we only have to think about a reduction of the so-called core deficit ? say £70b.
? that?s at least what I think at the moment. As it looks now, even if Labour and the LibDems came to an agreement they would not have a parliamentary majority. The Conservatives and LibDems are too far apart in terms of economic policy and political reform to agree on a stable parliamentary majority for a government that is meant to last for a full parliament; even though David Cameron is trying very hard to win them over. His offers won?t be enough and the Lib Dem membership would not be happy about this either.
OurKingdom is a cross-spectrum site, open to all good arguments concerned with democracy, liberty and power in the UK, from those in political parties – including their leaders – or in none. To our delight Nick Clegg has offered us this post. We are writing to the leaders of the other main parties and the Greens for their views on the political reform of the UK at this crucial moment when the people seem to be saying they want the system to change.
The five squanderings of the UK’s assets – the real losses behind the election everyone lost, Simon Zadek
And who lost?well, Mr Brown clearly lost, but at least succeeded not to be slaughtered at the polls, a win of sorts compared to what might have happened. Mr Clegg lost in failing to capitalize on the ?TV Wow? that he experienced, and Mr Cameron lost, whatever is his next job, in failing to get a strong mandate from the UK electorate. His will be a disabled government at best.
Everything points to a hung parliament after the elections to the British House of Commons. Although projections put David Cameron’s Conservative Party out front, it lacks the absolute majority needed to govern alone. The press notes that the Labour Party could remain in power by forming a coalition with the Liberal Democrats, and speculates about Gordon Brown’s future.
Britain produced an electoral earthquake all right, but not the one so many expected. The real lessons have less to do with two-party systems than with how economic change has challenged old strategies on both the right and the left.
from Newsweek International Editions – Top News
So both Gordon Brown and David Cameron have extended an offer to the Lib Dems to begin talks to see whether some sort of coalition, however loose, could be agreed upon to form a Government. But Nick Clegg has said that it is for the Conservatives, as the largest party, to try and form a workable majority first.
Game theory says you need to understand your “outside options”: what the alternative to a deal with this group is. How well you do depends on how good you can make all the outside options. Here’s a go at the decision tree Clegg faces.
What are the arguments? I tried to do as much justice as possible to the anti-hangers on this IntelligenceSquared written debate – click through the image below for the detail. Laying it out like this, with every concession made to the anti’s and wanting to give them the best arguments they can have makes it quite clear the type of politics the anti’s are defending: managerial, anti-democratic and ultimately tinged with authoritarianism. (The full text is here, or click on the image below).
It’s a bit unclear who’s in charge of Britain right now, but if — as is looking more likely — David Cameron enters 10 Downing Street with either a minority government or a wacky Conservative-Liberal coalition, he’s going to have his hands full right off the bat with Argentina:
Just back from Japan, from where I was closely following the UK election on Twitter (your best place for my day-to-day political commentary these days, though be warned they?re usually more jokey ? and sweary ? than here?)
After 30 hours offline, and 44 hours after the polling booths closed, the UK still doesn?t have a new government. As such, witness the wonders of my jetlag-inspired political guesswork!